NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring VT NCST
Points 72.3 75.0
Total Points   147.3
Points From 2-Pointers 34.6 42.9
Points From 3-Pointers 23.3 17.7
Points From Free Throws 14.5 14.3
Shooting VT NCST
Field Goals Made 25.0 27.4
Field Goals Attempted 55.9 58.3
Field Goal % 44.8% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 21.5
2 Pointers Attempted 32.9 41.2
2 Point Shooting % 52.6% 52.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 23.0 17.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 14.5 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 18.1 19.8
Free Throw % 79.8% 72.6%
Ball Control VT NCST
Rebounds 32.4 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 8.9
Turnovers 10.5 8.4
Blocked Shots 2.1 3.3
Steals 3.8 6.7
Fouls 14.2 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: VA Tech

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VT NCST
Total Possessions 69.9
Effective Scoring Chances 66.7 70.4
% of Possessions with VT NCST
2 Point Attempt 41.9% 51.7%
3 Point Attempt 29.4% 21.5%
Player Fouled 21.2% 20.3%
Turnover 15.0% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken VT NCST
Shot Blocked 5.7% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 22.3% 26.2%