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Indiana at Purdue
Thu Feb 27, 2020
7:00pm ET
West Lafayette, IN
Indiana at Purdue: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Purdue by 6.5, Total Points: 130
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | IND | adv | PUR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 15-16-2 | 21-16-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-9-2 | 9-13-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-1-1 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-5-1 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 9-8-0 | 7-8-1 | |
| Away | 6-8-2 | 14-8-1 |
Indiana Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | Fla Gulf Cst | -14.0 | W by 6 | -8.0 |
| 11/12 | Home | Army | -25.5 | W by 8 | -17.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | Wright St | -15.0 | W by 9 | -6.0 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Connecticut | +11.0 | L by 20 | -9.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Louisville | -8.5 | W by 8 | -0.5 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Harvard | -7.0 | W by 13 | +6.0 |
| 12/01 | Home | Maryland | -2.5 | W by 12 | +9.5 |
| 12/05 | Away | Michigan | +6.5 | W by 3 | +9.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Auburn | +7.5 | L by 28 | -20.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Kansas | +7.0 | L by 4 | +3.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Morehead St | -11.0 | W by 1 | -10.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | N Alabama | -14.0 | W by 17 | +3.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Kennesaw St | -10.0 | W by 13 | +3.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Nebraska | +4.5 | L by 16 | -11.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Ohio St | +1.0 | W by 6 | +7.0 |
| 01/09 | Away | Rutgers | +4.0 | L by 9 | -5.0 |
| 01/12 | Home | Minnesota | -4.5 | W by 12 | +7.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | Purdue | +9.5 | L by 21 | -11.5 |
| 01/19 | Away | Wisconsin | +12.0 | L by 12 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Illinois | +15.0 | L by 8 | +7.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | Iowa | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Penn St | -7.0 | L by 14 | -21.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Ohio St | +5.5 | W by 3 | +8.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Purdue | +17.0 | L by 20 | -3.0 |
| 02/18 | Home | Northwestern | -2.5 | L by 4 | -6.5 |
| 02/21 | Home | Nebraska | -1.5 | L by 15 | -16.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Penn St | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Wisconsin | +4.0 | W by 4 | +8.0 |
| 03/03 | Away | Maryland | +9.0 | W by 5 | +14.0 |
| 03/06 | Away | Minnesota | +5.5 | W by 12 | +17.5 |
| 03/10 | Home | Michigan St | +3.5 | W by 1 | +4.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Penn St | -2.0 | W by 2 | 0.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Nebraska | +5.5 | L by 27 | -21.5 |
Purdue Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Samford | -19.5 | W by 53 | +33.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Morehead St | -29.5 | W by 30 | +0.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Xavier | -17.0 | W by 12 | -5.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Gonzaga | -5.5 | W by 10 | +4.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Tennessee | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Marquette | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | TX Southern | -32.0 | W by 32 | 0.0 |
| 12/01 | Away | Northwestern | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 12/04 | Home | Iowa | -13.5 | W by 19 | +5.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Alabama | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Arizona | +2.0 | W by 8 | +10.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Jacksonville | -32.5 | W by 43 | +10.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | E Kentucky | -29.0 | W by 27 | -2.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | Maryland | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 01/05 | Home | Illinois | -10.5 | W by 5 | -5.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Nebraska | -7.5 | L by 16 | -23.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Penn St | -18.0 | W by 17 | -1.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Indiana | -9.5 | W by 21 | +11.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Iowa | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | Michigan | -18.0 | W by 32 | +14.0 |
| 01/28 | Away | Rutgers | -10.0 | W by 8 | -2.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Northwestern | -14.0 | W by 9 | -5.0 |
| 02/04 | Away | Wisconsin | -2.5 | W by 6 | +3.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Indiana | -17.0 | W by 20 | +3.0 |
| 02/15 | Home | Minnesota | -16.5 | W by 8 | -8.5 |
| 02/18 | Away | Ohio St | -8.0 | L by 4 | -12.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | Rutgers | -14.5 | W by 28 | +13.5 |
| 02/25 | Away | Michigan | -13.5 | W by 8 | -5.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Michigan St | -10.0 | W by 6 | -4.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Illinois | +2.5 | W by 6 | +8.5 |
| 03/10 | Home | Wisconsin | -10.0 | W by 8 | -2.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Michigan St | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Wisconsin | -6.0 | L by 1 | -7.0 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Grambling St | -27.0 | W by 28 | +1.0 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Utah St | -11.5 | W by 39 | +27.5 |
| 03/29 | Neutral | Gonzaga | -4.5 | W by 12 | +7.5 |
| 03/31 | Neutral | Tennessee | -3.0 | W by 6 | +3.0 |
| 04/06 | Neutral | NC State | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 04/08 | Neutral | Connecticut | +7.0 | L by 15 | -8.0 |
| PUR -6.5 | Open | -6.0 | High | -7.0 |
| Last | -6.0 | Low | -6.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3076 games where the closing line favored the home team by 5.5 to 7.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Purdue won the game 2239 times (72.8%).
- The team like Indiana won the game 837 times (27.2%).
- The team like Purdue did better against the spread, going 1525-1501-50 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4915 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Purdue did better against the spread, going 2427-2389-99 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -6.5 | -6.5 | -6.5 |
| Open | -7.0 | -7.0 | -6.5 |
| History | |||
| 02/27 07:04 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 02/27 06:58 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 06:55 PM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 02/27 06:19 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 05:44 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 05:25 PM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 02/27 04:13 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 03:15 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 03:00 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 02:25 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 11:50 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 11:23 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 09:15 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 07:05 AM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 02/27 06:58 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 06:38 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 05:30 AM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 02/27 04:14 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 02/27 03:57 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 01:39 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 12:54 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 02/27 12:35 AM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 02/26 06:44 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 02/26 06:30 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
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