NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND PUR
Points 66.9 80.8
Total Points   147.7
Points From 2-Pointers 41.7 35.8
Points From 3-Pointers 15.5 27.0
Points From Free Throws 9.7 18.0
Shooting IND PUR
Field Goals Made 26.0 26.9
Field Goals Attempted 60.3 60.1
Field Goal % 43.2% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 20.9 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 42.7 37.0
2 Point Shooting % 48.8% 48.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.2 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 17.5 23.1
3 Point Shooting % 29.5% 39.1%
Free Throws Made 9.7 18.0
Free Throws Attempted 14.7 24.7
Free Throw % 65.9% 72.8%
Ball Control IND PUR
Rebounds 31.1 42.8
Rebounds - Defensive 23.3 29.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 13.7
Turnovers 9.3 8.7
Blocked Shots 2.7 3.0
Steals 4.6 6.2
Fouls 17.2 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: Purdue

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND PUR
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 69.0 75.6
% of Possessions with IND PUR
2 Point Attempt 53.8% 43.4%
3 Point Attempt 22.1% 27.0%
Player Fouled 18.7% 24.3%
Turnover 13.2% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND PUR
Shot Blocked 5.1% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 21.1% 37.1%