NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND STAN
Points 75.7 72.8
Total Points   148.5
Points From 2-Pointers 45.6 32.8
Points From 3-Pointers 18.8 27.8
Points From Free Throws 11.4 12.2
Shooting IND STAN
Field Goals Made 29.1 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 60.2 59.9
Field Goal % 48.2% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made 22.8 16.4
2 Pointers Attempted 42.0 33.5
2 Point Shooting % 54.3% 49.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 18.2 26.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 11.4 12.2
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 16.5
Free Throw % 65.9% 73.9%
Ball Control IND STAN
Rebounds 36.9 34.1
Rebounds - Defensive 28.7 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 7.9
Turnovers 10.4 10.8
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.7
Steals 5.2 6.0
Fouls 14.2 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Stanford

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND STAN
Total Possessions 72.9
Effective Scoring Chances 70.7 70.0
% of Possessions with IND STAN
2 Point Attempt 51.1% 40.9%
3 Point Attempt 22.1% 32.3%
Player Fouled 19.8% 19.4%
Turnover 14.3% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND STAN
Shot Blocked 4.6% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 21.6%