NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND PROV
Points 66.4 69.3
Total Points   135.7
Points From 2-Pointers 39.8 27.4
Points From 3-Pointers 14.0 27.8
Points From Free Throws 12.6 14.1
Shooting IND PROV
Field Goals Made 24.6 23.0
Field Goals Attempted 57.2 58.6
Field Goal % 42.9% 39.2%
2 Pointers Made 19.9 13.7
2 Pointers Attempted 42.9 29.1
2 Point Shooting % 46.4% 47.0%
3 Pointers Made 4.7 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 14.4 29.4
3 Point Shooting % 32.6% 31.5%
Free Throws Made 12.6 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 18.9
Free Throw % 65.9% 74.5%
Ball Control IND PROV
Rebounds 37.4 36.9
Rebounds - Defensive 28.7 27.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 9.4
Turnovers 10.8 10.1
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.6
Steals 5.1 6.7
Fouls 15.1 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Providence

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND PROV
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 68.7 70.1
% of Possessions with IND PROV
2 Point Attempt 53.0% 35.8%
3 Point Attempt 17.8% 36.2%
Player Fouled 22.2% 21.4%
Turnover 15.2% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND PROV
Shot Blocked 6.2% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 24.6%