NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND MINN
Points 72.3 71.6
Total Points   143.9
Points From 2-Pointers 44.4 32.0
Points From 3-Pointers 15.2 26.3
Points From Free Throws 12.7 13.3
Shooting IND MINN
Field Goals Made 27.3 24.8
Field Goals Attempted 56.9 59.0
Field Goal % 48.0% 42.0%
2 Pointers Made 22.2 16.0
2 Pointers Attempted 42.8 33.7
2 Point Shooting % 51.9% 47.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.1 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 14.1 25.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 12.7 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 19.6
Free Throw % 65.9% 67.9%
Ball Control IND MINN
Rebounds 36.3 34.4
Rebounds - Defensive 27.7 24.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 9.9
Turnovers 10.5 9.4
Blocked Shots 3.7 3.7
Steals 5.1 6.9
Fouls 14.1 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND MINN
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 68.4 70.6
% of Possessions with IND MINN
2 Point Attempt 53.2% 41.3%
3 Point Attempt 17.6% 31.0%
Player Fouled 21.6% 20.0%
Turnover 14.9% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND MINN
Shot Blocked 6.3% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 26.3%