NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND IOWA
Points 78.1 77.6
Total Points   155.7
Points From 2-Pointers 46.5 39.4
Points From 3-Pointers 17.0 21.9
Points From Free Throws 14.6 16.3
Shooting IND IOWA
Field Goals Made 28.9 27.0
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 62.6
Field Goal % 49.5% 43.1%
2 Pointers Made 23.3 19.7
2 Pointers Attempted 42.4 41.3
2 Point Shooting % 54.9% 47.8%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 16.1 21.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 14.6 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 22.1 21.0
Free Throw % 65.9% 77.4%
Ball Control IND IOWA
Rebounds 37.7 34.0
Rebounds - Defensive 28.4 24.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 9.5
Turnovers 10.7 7.9
Blocked Shots 3.5 3.5
Steals 4.4 6.7
Fouls 15.0 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Iowa

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND IOWA
Total Possessions 73.2
Effective Scoring Chances 71.7 74.9
% of Possessions with IND IOWA
2 Point Attempt 50.5% 49.0%
3 Point Attempt 19.2% 25.4%
Player Fouled 21.4% 20.5%
Turnover 14.7% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND IOWA
Shot Blocked 5.7% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 27.5% 25.1%