NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND RUTG
Points 66.8 62.1
Total Points   128.9
Points From 2-Pointers 37.5 30.8
Points From 3-Pointers 15.8 18.1
Points From Free Throws 13.5 13.2
Shooting IND RUTG
Field Goals Made 24.0 21.4
Field Goals Attempted 54.0 62.2
Field Goal % 44.5% 34.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 15.4
2 Pointers Attempted 37.5 40.1
2 Point Shooting % 50.0% 38.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 16.5 22.0
3 Point Shooting % 31.9% 27.4%
Free Throws Made 13.5 13.2
Free Throws Attempted 20.5 19.6
Free Throw % 65.9% 67.6%
Ball Control IND RUTG
Rebounds 41.1 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 31.6 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 12.2
Turnovers 13.8 9.2
Blocked Shots 4.4 4.7
Steals 4.9 8.3
Fouls 14.0 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND RUTG
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 66.5 73.9
% of Possessions with IND RUTG
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 20.0% 26.0%
Player Fouled 21.8% 19.8%
Turnover 19.5% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 11.7% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND RUTG
Shot Blocked 7.6% 8.4%
Offensive Rebound 28.2% 27.9%