NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TCU ISU
Points 68.0 74.2
Total Points   142.2
Points From 2-Pointers 34.0 41.1
Points From 3-Pointers 19.2 18.3
Points From Free Throws 14.8 14.7
Shooting TCU ISU
Field Goals Made 23.4 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 54.0 56.6
Field Goal % 43.4% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 20.6
2 Pointers Attempted 34.6 39.2
2 Point Shooting % 49.3% 52.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 19.5 17.4
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 14.8 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 20.8
Free Throw % 72.7% 70.8%
Ball Control TCU ISU
Rebounds 35.7 31.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 21.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 9.2
Turnovers 15.3 11.0
Blocked Shots 3.6 3.7
Steals 7.1 8.7
Fouls 16.2 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: TX Christian

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TCU ISU
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 67.5 69.2
% of Possessions with TCU ISU
2 Point Attempt 41.0% 48.0%
3 Point Attempt 23.1% 21.4%
Player Fouled 20.9% 22.8%
Turnover 21.5% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 12.3% 10.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken TCU ISU
Shot Blocked 6.7% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 34.9% 27.8%