NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TCU TTU
Points 59.4 74.6
Total Points   133.9
Points From 2-Pointers 27.1 40.7
Points From 3-Pointers 19.1 18.5
Points From Free Throws 13.2 15.4
Shooting TCU TTU
Field Goals Made 19.9 26.5
Field Goals Attempted 50.3 58.1
Field Goal % 39.6% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 13.6 20.4
2 Pointers Attempted 31.8 41.5
2 Point Shooting % 42.7% 49.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 18.5 16.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 13.2 15.4
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 21.7
Free Throw % 67.1% 70.6%
Ball Control TCU TTU
Rebounds 33.1 35.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 24.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 11.2
Turnovers 15.0 8.0
Blocked Shots 2.8 5.4
Steals 4.0 6.9
Fouls 16.0 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Texas Tech

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TCU TTU
Total Possessions 68.2
Effective Scoring Chances 62.2 71.4
% of Possessions with TCU TTU
2 Point Attempt 40.0% 51.6%
3 Point Attempt 23.3% 20.6%
Player Fouled 21.6% 23.4%
Turnover 21.9% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 10.1% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken TCU TTU
Shot Blocked 9.5% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 26.9% 31.7%