NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TCU TTU
Points 76.6 75.9
Total Points   152.6
Points From 2-Pointers 43.3 36.2
Points From 3-Pointers 19.8 23.5
Points From Free Throws 13.5 16.2
Shooting TCU TTU
Field Goals Made 28.3 26.0
Field Goals Attempted 61.5 55.8
Field Goal % 45.9% 46.5%
2 Pointers Made 21.7 18.1
2 Pointers Attempted 42.8 33.7
2 Point Shooting % 50.6% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 18.7 22.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 13.5 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 20.6
Free Throw % 72.7% 78.5%
Ball Control TCU TTU
Rebounds 36.5 31.6
Rebounds - Defensive 23.4 22.9
Rebounds - Offensive 13.1 8.7
Turnovers 10.6 11.7
Blocked Shots 3.9 2.6
Steals 6.6 5.4
Fouls 15.5 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: TX Christian

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TCU TTU
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 73.7 68.2
% of Possessions with TCU TTU
2 Point Attempt 50.2% 41.3%
3 Point Attempt 21.9% 27.2%
Player Fouled 19.1% 21.7%
Turnover 15.0% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken TCU TTU
Shot Blocked 4.7% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 36.4% 27.1%