NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TCU OKLA
Points 74.7 74.0
Total Points   148.7
Points From 2-Pointers 42.0 37.2
Points From 3-Pointers 17.6 20.0
Points From Free Throws 15.2 16.7
Shooting TCU OKLA
Field Goals Made 26.8 25.3
Field Goals Attempted 59.5 53.3
Field Goal % 45.1% 47.4%
2 Pointers Made 21.0 18.6
2 Pointers Attempted 42.0 33.5
2 Point Shooting % 49.9% 55.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 17.5 19.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.5% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 15.2 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 22.8
Free Throw % 72.7% 73.5%
Ball Control TCU OKLA
Rebounds 33.6 33.5
Rebounds - Defensive 23.0 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 8.3
Turnovers 10.1 13.1
Blocked Shots 3.9 3.2
Steals 8.4 5.0
Fouls 16.7 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Oklahoma

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TCU OKLA
Total Possessions 71.9
Effective Scoring Chances 72.3 67.1
% of Possessions with TCU OKLA
2 Point Attempt 50.2% 41.0%
3 Point Attempt 20.9% 24.2%
Player Fouled 20.8% 23.2%
Turnover 14.1% 18.2%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 11.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken TCU OKLA
Shot Blocked 6.1% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 29.6% 26.5%