NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TCU KSU
Points 75.0 70.1
Total Points   145.1
Points From 2-Pointers 39.0 34.6
Points From 3-Pointers 17.9 18.5
Points From Free Throws 18.1 17.1
Shooting TCU KSU
Field Goals Made 25.5 23.5
Field Goals Attempted 62.6 51.9
Field Goal % 40.6% 45.2%
2 Pointers Made 19.5 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 44.5 32.2
2 Point Shooting % 43.8% 53.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 18.2 19.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 31.3%
Free Throws Made 18.1 17.1
Free Throws Attempted 24.9 23.7
Free Throw % 72.7% 71.9%
Ball Control TCU KSU
Rebounds 37.7 35.1
Rebounds - Defensive 23.0 26.1
Rebounds - Offensive 14.7 9.0
Turnovers 10.1 15.9
Blocked Shots 4.4 3.9
Steals 9.7 4.9
Fouls 17.1 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: TX Christian

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TCU KSU
Total Possessions 73.5
Effective Scoring Chances 78.1 66.6
% of Possessions with TCU KSU
2 Point Attempt 49.5% 38.2%
3 Point Attempt 20.3% 23.3%
Player Fouled 21.9% 23.3%
Turnover 13.7% 21.7%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 13.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken TCU KSU
Shot Blocked 7.7% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 36.0% 28.1%