NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DSU NCAT
Points 69.9 65.9
Total Points   135.9
Points From 2-Pointers 42.3 31.2
Points From 3-Pointers 13.3 19.7
Points From Free Throws 14.3 15.0
Shooting DSU NCAT
Field Goals Made 25.6 22.2
Field Goals Attempted 59.4 55.9
Field Goal % 43.1% 39.7%
2 Pointers Made 21.2 15.6
2 Pointers Attempted 45.7 33.7
2 Point Shooting % 46.3% 46.3%
3 Pointers Made 4.4 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 13.7 22.2
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 29.6%
Free Throws Made 14.3 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 19.8 21.2
Free Throw % 72.3% 70.8%
Ball Control DSU NCAT
Rebounds 40.7 33.5
Rebounds - Defensive 28.1 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 9.3
Turnovers 11.0 10.6
Blocked Shots 1.7 2.8
Steals 6.0 5.4
Fouls 15.2 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Delaware St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DSU NCAT
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 72.2 69.4
% of Possessions with DSU NCAT
2 Point Attempt 54.2% 41.8%
3 Point Attempt 16.2% 27.6%
Player Fouled 18.9% 21.6%
Turnover 15.6% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken DSU NCAT
Shot Blocked 5.1% 2.9%
Offensive Rebound 34.3% 25.0%