NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DSU MORG
Points 73.5 68.7
Total Points   142.2
Points From 2-Pointers 41.2 41.4
Points From 3-Pointers 12.7 13.3
Points From Free Throws 19.5 14.0
Shooting DSU MORG
Field Goals Made 24.9 25.1
Field Goals Attempted 57.5 56.8
Field Goal % 43.2% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 20.6 20.7
2 Pointers Attempted 44.9 41.0
2 Point Shooting % 45.9% 50.5%
3 Pointers Made 4.2 4.4
3 Pointers Attempted 12.6 15.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.6% 28.0%
Free Throws Made 19.5 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 27.0 18.7
Free Throw % 72.3% 75.2%
Ball Control DSU MORG
Rebounds 37.6 33.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 23.6
Rebounds - Offensive 13.4 10.1
Turnovers 12.6 14.9
Blocked Shots 1.9 3.1
Steals 8.4 5.7
Fouls 13.8 17.4

Playing Style Advantage: Delaware St

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DSU MORG
Total Possessions 74.1
Effective Scoring Chances 74.8 69.4
% of Possessions with DSU MORG
2 Point Attempt 50.6% 48.3%
3 Point Attempt 14.2% 18.6%
Player Fouled 23.4% 18.7%
Turnover 17.0% 20.1%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 11.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken DSU MORG
Shot Blocked 5.5% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 36.2% 29.5%