NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DSU DEL
Points 63.9 73.2
Total Points   137.1
Points From 2-Pointers 39.6 36.3
Points From 3-Pointers 11.3 23.3
Points From Free Throws 13.0 13.5
Shooting DSU DEL
Field Goals Made 23.6 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 58.9 54.2
Field Goal % 40.0% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 18.2
2 Pointers Attempted 46.2 31.5
2 Point Shooting % 42.9% 57.7%
3 Pointers Made 3.8 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 12.8 22.7
3 Point Shooting % 29.6% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 13.0 13.5
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 19.2
Free Throw % 72.3% 70.4%
Ball Control DSU DEL
Rebounds 33.3 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 22.9 27.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 8.7
Turnovers 10.6 12.6
Blocked Shots 1.9 2.7
Steals 7.6 5.2
Fouls 14.8 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Delaware St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DSU DEL
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 70.2 66.6
% of Possessions with DSU DEL
2 Point Attempt 56.3% 39.4%
3 Point Attempt 15.6% 28.4%
Player Fouled 19.1% 20.9%
Turnover 15.1% 17.9%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 10.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken DSU DEL
Shot Blocked 5.1% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 27.5%