NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DSU UGA
Points 62.8 80.8
Total Points   143.6
Points From 2-Pointers 37.3 33.4
Points From 3-Pointers 12.9 31.5
Points From Free Throws 12.6 15.8
Shooting DSU UGA
Field Goals Made 23.0 27.2
Field Goals Attempted 60.5 56.7
Field Goal % 37.9% 48.1%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 16.7
2 Pointers Attempted 46.5 29.2
2 Point Shooting % 40.2% 57.2%
3 Pointers Made 4.3 10.5
3 Pointers Attempted 14.0 27.5
3 Point Shooting % 30.7% 38.3%
Free Throws Made 12.6 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 17.4 22.1
Free Throw % 72.3% 71.6%
Ball Control DSU UGA
Rebounds 34.1 39.0
Rebounds - Defensive 23.5 29.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 9.7
Turnovers 12.5 12.2
Blocked Shots 1.5 3.6
Steals 6.8 6.5
Fouls 16.1 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: Georgia

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DSU UGA
Total Possessions 73.4
Effective Scoring Chances 71.5 70.9
% of Possessions with DSU UGA
2 Point Attempt 54.4% 34.9%
3 Point Attempt 16.4% 32.8%
Player Fouled 17.8% 21.9%
Turnover 17.1% 16.6%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken DSU UGA
Shot Blocked 6.4% 2.5%
Offensive Rebound 26.5% 29.2%