NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALST AAMU
Points 65.3 66.0
Total Points   131.4
Points From 2-Pointers 28.1 32.2
Points From 3-Pointers 21.0 12.6
Points From Free Throws 16.2 21.2
Shooting ALST AAMU
Field Goals Made 21.1 20.3
Field Goals Attempted 63.9 50.0
Field Goal % 33.0% 40.6%
2 Pointers Made 14.1 16.1
2 Pointers Attempted 39.2 35.6
2 Point Shooting % 35.9% 45.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 4.2
3 Pointers Attempted 24.7 14.5
3 Point Shooting % 28.2% 29.1%
Free Throws Made 16.2 21.2
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 29.3
Free Throw % 72.4% 72.3%
Ball Control ALST AAMU
Rebounds 38.2 41.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 31.8
Rebounds - Offensive 14.0 10.0
Turnovers 10.3 15.8
Blocked Shots 4.7 4.5
Steals 9.9 5.5
Fouls 19.1 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Alabama St

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALST AAMU
Total Possessions 73.9
Effective Scoring Chances 77.7 68.2
% of Possessions with ALST AAMU
2 Point Attempt 43.6% 41.4%
3 Point Attempt 27.6% 16.9%
Player Fouled 21.8% 25.8%
Turnover 13.9% 21.4%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 13.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALST AAMU
Shot Blocked 9.2% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 30.6% 29.4%