NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALST HOU
Points 47.3 84.1
Total Points   131.4
Points From 2-Pointers 18.8 36.9
Points From 3-Pointers 16.6 28.9
Points From Free Throws 11.9 18.3
Shooting ALST HOU
Field Goals Made 14.9 28.1
Field Goals Attempted 57.6 59.6
Field Goal % 25.9% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made 9.4 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 34.2 33.6
2 Point Shooting % 27.4% 54.8%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 23.4 25.9
3 Point Shooting % 23.6% 37.2%
Free Throws Made 11.9 18.3
Free Throws Attempted 16.5 25.8
Free Throw % 72.4% 71.1%
Ball Control ALST HOU
Rebounds 31.5 48.1
Rebounds - Defensive 21.1 33.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 14.7
Turnovers 12.6 7.9
Blocked Shots 2.7 8.0
Steals 4.7 7.5
Fouls 16.6 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: Houston

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALST HOU
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 66.7 75.6
% of Possessions with ALST HOU
2 Point Attempt 41.4% 39.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.4% 30.6%
Player Fouled 19.6% 24.1%
Turnover 18.3% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 10.8% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALST HOU
Shot Blocked 13.7% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 23.8% 41.0%