NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALST SDAK
Points 71.6 75.8
Total Points   147.4
Points From 2-Pointers 37.8 31.1
Points From 3-Pointers 22.5 28.0
Points From Free Throws 11.3 16.7
Shooting ALST SDAK
Field Goals Made 26.4 24.9
Field Goals Attempted 70.3 54.7
Field Goal % 37.6% 45.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.9 15.6
2 Pointers Attempted 44.6 30.8
2 Point Shooting % 42.3% 50.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 25.7 23.9
3 Point Shooting % 29.2% 39.1%
Free Throws Made 11.3 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 15.7 21.8
Free Throw % 72.4% 76.4%
Ball Control ALST SDAK
Rebounds 37.1 41.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 33.4
Rebounds - Offensive 12.9 8.1
Turnovers 6.0 13.7
Blocked Shots 5.1 1.7
Steals 8.1 2.5
Fouls 17.1 12.6

Playing Style Advantage: South Dakota

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALST SDAK
Total Possessions 73.2
Effective Scoring Chances 80.0 67.6
% of Possessions with ALST SDAK
2 Point Attempt 51.4% 37.0%
3 Point Attempt 29.6% 28.7%
Player Fouled 17.3% 23.4%
Turnover 8.2% 18.7%
Opponent Steal 3.4% 11.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALST SDAK
Shot Blocked 3.2% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 27.8% 25.2%