NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DSU WAKE
Points 58.2 84.0
Total Points   142.2
Points From 2-Pointers 33.5 38.1
Points From 3-Pointers 11.3 28.8
Points From Free Throws 13.4 17.1
Shooting DSU WAKE
Field Goals Made 20.5 28.6
Field Goals Attempted 55.9 54.7
Field Goal % 36.6% 52.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 43.2 31.0
2 Point Shooting % 38.7% 61.4%
3 Pointers Made 3.8 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 12.8 23.7
3 Point Shooting % 29.6% 40.5%
Free Throws Made 13.4 17.1
Free Throws Attempted 18.5 21.7
Free Throw % 72.3% 79.2%
Ball Control DSU WAKE
Rebounds 29.2 37.5
Rebounds - Defensive 20.3 29.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 8.5
Turnovers 13.2 11.4
Blocked Shots 1.3 4.3
Steals 6.4 6.4
Fouls 17.2 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Wake Forest

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DSU WAKE
Total Possessions 71.5
Effective Scoring Chances 67.2 68.5
% of Possessions with DSU WAKE
2 Point Attempt 52.6% 38.5%
3 Point Attempt 15.5% 29.5%
Player Fouled 19.6% 24.0%
Turnover 18.4% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken DSU WAKE
Shot Blocked 7.9% 2.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.4% 29.4%