NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSUS EWU
Points 67.8 77.4
Total Points   145.2
Points From 2-Pointers 27.5 36.9
Points From 3-Pointers 26.7 23.7
Points From Free Throws 13.6 16.8
Shooting CSUS EWU
Field Goals Made 22.7 26.4
Field Goals Attempted 55.7 50.4
Field Goal % 40.7% 52.3%
2 Pointers Made 13.7 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 30.4 28.9
2 Point Shooting % 45.2% 63.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.9 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 25.3 21.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 13.6 16.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.9 21.6
Free Throw % 71.7% 77.5%
Ball Control CSUS EWU
Rebounds 32.4 30.3
Rebounds - Defensive 20.4 23.9
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 6.4
Turnovers 12.3 11.1
Blocked Shots 2.2 3.3
Steals 5.5 5.6
Fouls 18.8 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Sac State

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSUS EWU
Total Possessions 68.3
Effective Scoring Chances 68.1 63.6
% of Possessions with CSUS EWU
2 Point Attempt 37.2% 38.2%
3 Point Attempt 31.0% 28.5%
Player Fouled 22.8% 27.5%
Turnover 18.0% 16.3%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSUS EWU
Shot Blocked 6.5% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 33.5% 24.0%