NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DSU UMES
Points 67.8 61.8
Total Points   129.6
Points From 2-Pointers 38.4 30.3
Points From 3-Pointers 12.4 18.3
Points From Free Throws 17.0 13.1
Shooting DSU UMES
Field Goals Made 23.3 21.3
Field Goals Attempted 55.1 54.7
Field Goal % 42.3% 38.9%
2 Pointers Made 19.2 15.1
2 Pointers Attempted 41.5 34.1
2 Point Shooting % 46.2% 44.5%
3 Pointers Made 4.1 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 13.6 20.7
3 Point Shooting % 30.4% 29.6%
Free Throws Made 17.0 13.1
Free Throws Attempted 23.5 18.3
Free Throw % 72.3% 71.8%
Ball Control DSU UMES
Rebounds 38.6 33.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 23.4
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 10.1
Turnovers 12.9 14.3
Blocked Shots 1.8 2.4
Steals 7.9 6.5
Fouls 14.6 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Delaware St

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DSU UMES
Total Possessions 71.3
Effective Scoring Chances 70.6 67.1
% of Possessions with DSU UMES
2 Point Attempt 49.2% 41.5%
3 Point Attempt 16.1% 25.2%
Player Fouled 22.6% 20.4%
Turnover 18.1% 20.0%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 11.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken DSU UMES
Shot Blocked 4.4% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 34.2% 27.6%