NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DSU MAN
Points 68.4 68.6
Total Points   137.0
Points From 2-Pointers 40.9 31.6
Points From 3-Pointers 13.3 27.1
Points From Free Throws 14.2 9.9
Shooting DSU MAN
Field Goals Made 24.9 24.8
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 57.1
Field Goal % 42.6% 43.5%
2 Pointers Made 20.5 15.8
2 Pointers Attempted 45.7 30.6
2 Point Shooting % 44.8% 51.6%
3 Pointers Made 4.4 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 12.7 26.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 14.2 9.9
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 13.6
Free Throw % 72.3% 73.2%
Ball Control DSU MAN
Rebounds 36.8 33.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 25.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 8.6
Turnovers 12.1 14.2
Blocked Shots 1.8 3.0
Steals 8.7 7.1
Fouls 12.5 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Manhattan

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DSU MAN
Total Possessions 71.9
Effective Scoring Chances 70.9 66.3
% of Possessions with DSU MAN
2 Point Attempt 54.2% 37.7%
3 Point Attempt 15.1% 32.7%
Player Fouled 18.5% 17.3%
Turnover 16.8% 19.7%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 12.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken DSU MAN
Shot Blocked 5.4% 3.1%
Offensive Rebound 30.6% 25.1%