NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DSU LONG
Points 65.5 73.4
Total Points   138.9
Points From 2-Pointers 36.8 37.1
Points From 3-Pointers 13.9 20.8
Points From Free Throws 14.9 15.5
Shooting DSU LONG
Field Goals Made 23.0 25.5
Field Goals Attempted 52.4 55.3
Field Goal % 43.9% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 18.6
2 Pointers Attempted 38.8 36.8
2 Point Shooting % 47.4% 50.5%
3 Pointers Made 4.6 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 13.6 18.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 37.2%
Free Throws Made 14.9 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 22.6
Free Throw % 72.3% 68.6%
Ball Control DSU LONG
Rebounds 29.5 37.3
Rebounds - Defensive 20.8 24.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 13.3
Turnovers 13.8 13.3
Blocked Shots 1.5 2.1
Steals 7.4 6.9
Fouls 16.3 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Longwood

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DSU LONG
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 65.7 70.8
% of Possessions with DSU LONG
2 Point Attempt 48.2% 43.4%
3 Point Attempt 17.0% 21.9%
Player Fouled 23.0% 23.1%
Turnover 19.5% 18.8%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 10.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken DSU LONG
Shot Blocked 3.9% 2.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 39.0%