NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DSU LIU
Points 72.3 66.1
Total Points   138.4
Points From 2-Pointers 41.5 35.2
Points From 3-Pointers 10.5 18.3
Points From Free Throws 20.3 12.6
Shooting DSU LIU
Field Goals Made 24.3 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 55.4
Field Goal % 42.5% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made 20.8 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 45.0 36.6
2 Point Shooting % 46.2% 48.1%
3 Pointers Made 3.5 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 12.0 18.8
3 Point Shooting % 29.0% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 20.3 12.6
Free Throws Attempted 28.0 18.8
Free Throw % 72.3% 66.9%
Ball Control DSU LIU
Rebounds 38.9 33.6
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 8.5
Turnovers 11.4 14.7
Blocked Shots 1.9 3.1
Steals 8.8 6.2
Fouls 14.3 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Delaware St

Expected Effect: +0.9 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DSU LIU
Total Possessions 73.8
Effective Scoring Chances 74.5 67.7
% of Possessions with DSU LIU
2 Point Attempt 51.6% 44.0%
3 Point Attempt 13.8% 22.6%
Player Fouled 24.0% 19.4%
Turnover 15.4% 19.9%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 12.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken DSU LIU
Shot Blocked 5.6% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 32.5% 24.2%