NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DSU NORF
Points 63.9 71.6
Total Points   135.5
Points From 2-Pointers 30.3 35.3
Points From 3-Pointers 15.4 20.5
Points From Free Throws 18.2 15.9
Shooting DSU NORF
Field Goals Made 20.3 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 50.3 54.0
Field Goal % 40.3% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 15.2 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 35.4 34.6
2 Point Shooting % 42.9% 51.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.1 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 15.0 19.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 18.2 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 25.2 22.1
Free Throw % 72.3% 71.8%
Ball Control DSU NORF
Rebounds 33.5 33.7
Rebounds - Defensive 22.7 23.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 10.5
Turnovers 14.6 12.5
Blocked Shots 1.5 2.9
Steals 6.2 7.8
Fouls 15.9 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Delaware St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DSU NORF
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 66.7 68.5
% of Possessions with DSU NORF
2 Point Attempt 42.9% 42.4%
3 Point Attempt 18.2% 23.8%
Player Fouled 24.1% 22.6%
Turnover 20.7% 17.7%
Opponent Steal 11.0% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken DSU NORF
Shot Blocked 5.5% 3.0%
Offensive Rebound 31.8% 31.7%