NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DSU
Points 62.6 62.9
Total Points   125.5
Points From 2-Pointers 36.2 25.7
Points From 3-Pointers 10.8 25.2
Points From Free Throws 15.6 12.0
Shooting DSU
Field Goals Made 21.7 21.2
Field Goals Attempted 55.2 53.6
Field Goal % 39.3% 39.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.1 12.8
2 Pointers Attempted 45.8 32.1
2 Point Shooting % 39.5% 39.9%
3 Pointers Made 3.6 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 9.4 21.4
3 Point Shooting % 38.5% 39.2%
Free Throws Made 15.6 12.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 17.5
Free Throw % 72.3% 68.9%
Ball Control DSU
Rebounds 36.1 35.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 11.2
Turnovers 13.0 15.2
Blocked Shots 1.6 4.4
Steals 7.2 6.6
Fouls 14.5 14.8

Playing Style Advantage:

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DSU
Total Possessions 69.9
Effective Scoring Chances 68.8 65.9
% of Possessions with DSU
2 Point Attempt 54.9% 39.3%
3 Point Attempt 11.2% 26.2%
Player Fouled 21.1% 20.7%
Turnover 18.5% 21.7%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 10.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken DSU
Shot Blocked 8.4% 2.9%
Offensive Rebound 32.4% 31.6%