NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALST JKST
Points 68.1 70.8
Total Points   138.9
Points From 2-Pointers 31.7 31.8
Points From 3-Pointers 24.1 22.1
Points From Free Throws 12.3 16.9
Shooting ALST JKST
Field Goals Made 23.9 23.3
Field Goals Attempted 65.1 58.0
Field Goal % 36.7% 40.1%
2 Pointers Made 15.8 15.9
2 Pointers Attempted 37.6 36.2
2 Point Shooting % 42.1% 43.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 27.5 21.8
3 Point Shooting % 29.3% 33.7%
Free Throws Made 12.3 16.9
Free Throws Attempted 17.0 23.5
Free Throw % 72.4% 71.9%
Ball Control ALST JKST
Rebounds 38.5 42.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 30.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.8 12.4
Turnovers 10.0 12.5
Blocked Shots 5.2 4.4
Steals 7.3 5.6
Fouls 15.9 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: Jackson St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALST JKST
Total Possessions 72.6
Effective Scoring Chances 75.4 72.5
% of Possessions with ALST JKST
2 Point Attempt 43.1% 41.6%
3 Point Attempt 31.5% 25.1%
Player Fouled 17.6% 22.0%
Turnover 13.7% 17.2%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 10.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALST JKST
Shot Blocked 7.8% 8.2%
Offensive Rebound 29.6% 32.4%