NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALST TXSO
Points 63.5 69.9
Total Points   133.3
Points From 2-Pointers 29.6 29.5
Points From 3-Pointers 19.6 24.1
Points From Free Throws 14.3 16.3
Shooting ALST TXSO
Field Goals Made 21.3 22.8
Field Goals Attempted 63.9 57.3
Field Goal % 33.4% 39.8%
2 Pointers Made 14.8 14.7
2 Pointers Attempted 38.1 31.7
2 Point Shooting % 38.9% 46.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 25.8 25.6
3 Point Shooting % 25.3% 31.4%
Free Throws Made 14.3 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 22.1
Free Throw % 72.4% 73.6%
Ball Control ALST TXSO
Rebounds 39.6 42.9
Rebounds - Defensive 27.0 32.4
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 10.5
Turnovers 9.4 12.2
Blocked Shots 4.3 4.5
Steals 6.8 5.1
Fouls 16.3 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Alabama St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALST TXSO
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 75.7 70.8
% of Possessions with ALST TXSO
2 Point Attempt 43.8% 37.4%
3 Point Attempt 29.7% 30.2%
Player Fouled 20.2% 22.5%
Turnover 13.0% 16.9%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALST TXSO
Shot Blocked 8.1% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 28.1% 28.0%