NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALST TXSO
Points 70.0 69.7
Total Points   139.7
Points From 2-Pointers 29.7 34.4
Points From 3-Pointers 27.3 22.4
Points From Free Throws 13.1 12.9
Shooting ALST TXSO
Field Goals Made 23.9 24.6
Field Goals Attempted 65.8 60.0
Field Goal % 36.4% 41.1%
2 Pointers Made 14.8 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 35.5 37.2
2 Point Shooting % 41.8% 46.2%
3 Pointers Made 9.1 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 30.3 22.8
3 Point Shooting % 30.1% 32.8%
Free Throws Made 13.1 12.9
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 18.1
Free Throw % 67.8% 71.4%
Ball Control ALST TXSO
Rebounds 39.9 43.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 32.0
Rebounds - Offensive 13.1 11.2
Turnovers 8.7 12.9
Blocked Shots 3.3 3.1
Steals 7.7 5.1
Fouls 13.4 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Texas So

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALST TXSO
Total Possessions 73.3
Effective Scoring Chances 77.7 71.6
% of Possessions with ALST TXSO
2 Point Attempt 40.5% 43.4%
3 Point Attempt 34.5% 26.5%
Player Fouled 18.2% 18.3%
Turnover 11.9% 17.6%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 10.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALST TXSO
Shot Blocked 5.3% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 29.0% 29.5%