NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GTWN SDSU
Points 66.7 81.9
Total Points   148.6
Points From 2-Pointers 25.1 43.5
Points From 3-Pointers 25.8 20.9
Points From Free Throws 15.8 17.5
Shooting GTWN SDSU
Field Goals Made 21.2 28.7
Field Goals Attempted 56.0 55.8
Field Goal % 37.8% 51.5%
2 Pointers Made 12.6 21.7
2 Pointers Attempted 30.3 34.6
2 Point Shooting % 41.5% 62.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 25.8 21.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 33.0%
Free Throws Made 15.8 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.9 23.7
Free Throw % 72.0% 73.7%
Ball Control GTWN SDSU
Rebounds 31.7 36.9
Rebounds - Defensive 19.7 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 11.0
Turnovers 11.3 9.3
Blocked Shots 2.3 4.4
Steals 4.7 7.9
Fouls 16.9 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Georgetown

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GTWN SDSU
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.5 70.6
% of Possessions with GTWN SDSU
2 Point Attempt 36.6% 42.9%
3 Point Attempt 31.2% 26.2%
Player Fouled 23.0% 24.5%
Turnover 16.4% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 11.4% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken GTWN SDSU
Shot Blocked 8.0% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 31.5% 35.7%