NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GTWN BUT
Points 73.8 84.8
Total Points   158.6
Points From 2-Pointers 37.1 43.8
Points From 3-Pointers 25.4 25.8
Points From Free Throws 11.3 15.2
Shooting GTWN BUT
Field Goals Made 27.0 30.5
Field Goals Attempted 63.0 57.8
Field Goal % 42.9% 52.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.6 21.9
2 Pointers Attempted 38.3 34.8
2 Point Shooting % 48.4% 62.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 24.7 23.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 37.4%
Free Throws Made 11.3 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 15.7 19.0
Free Throw % 72.0% 80.1%
Ball Control GTWN BUT
Rebounds 33.4 34.0
Rebounds - Defensive 21.6 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 7.6
Turnovers 10.1 9.8
Blocked Shots 3.3 3.2
Steals 5.9 6.1
Fouls 14.7 12.7

Playing Style Advantage: Georgetown

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GTWN BUT
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 72.9 69.0
% of Possessions with GTWN BUT
2 Point Attempt 45.5% 43.5%
3 Point Attempt 29.3% 28.7%
Player Fouled 17.8% 20.6%
Turnover 14.2% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken GTWN BUT
Shot Blocked 5.7% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 30.9% 26.1%