NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GTWN BUT
Points 73.5 75.5
Total Points   148.9
Points From 2-Pointers 42.8 36.0
Points From 3-Pointers 22.1 24.9
Points From Free Throws 8.6 14.6
Shooting GTWN BUT
Field Goals Made 28.8 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 65.6 55.6
Field Goal % 43.9% 47.3%
2 Pointers Made 21.4 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 41.6 32.7
2 Point Shooting % 51.3% 55.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 23.9 22.9
3 Point Shooting % 30.8% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 8.6 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 12.2 19.8
Free Throw % 70.5% 73.6%
Ball Control GTWN BUT
Rebounds 34.5 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 28.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 7.8
Turnovers 7.0 10.2
Blocked Shots 3.8 2.4
Steals 6.7 4.1
Fouls 15.2 10.9

Playing Style Advantage: Butler

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GTWN BUT
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 73.0 67.3
% of Possessions with GTWN BUT
2 Point Attempt 51.4% 41.4%
3 Point Attempt 29.5% 29.0%
Player Fouled 15.6% 21.8%
Turnover 10.1% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 9.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken GTWN BUT
Shot Blocked 4.4% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 26.7% 24.4%