NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GTWN PROV
Points 66.5 80.0
Total Points   146.6
Points From 2-Pointers 29.8 38.5
Points From 3-Pointers 22.7 25.3
Points From Free Throws 14.0 16.2
Shooting GTWN PROV
Field Goals Made 22.5 27.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.6 54.4
Field Goal % 38.4% 50.9%
2 Pointers Made 14.9 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 37.1 29.7
2 Point Shooting % 40.1% 64.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 24.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 14.0 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 21.7
Free Throw % 72.0% 74.5%
Ball Control GTWN PROV
Rebounds 32.4 36.3
Rebounds - Defensive 21.4 27.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 8.5
Turnovers 10.4 10.5
Blocked Shots 2.5 4.3
Steals 5.3 6.5
Fouls 16.5 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Georgetown

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GTWN PROV
Total Possessions 69.8
Effective Scoring Chances 70.3 67.8
% of Possessions with GTWN PROV
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 37.5%
3 Point Attempt 26.0% 31.2%
Player Fouled 21.0% 23.7%
Turnover 15.0% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken GTWN PROV
Shot Blocked 8.0% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 28.3% 28.4%