NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GTWN SCAR
Points 70.0 81.6
Total Points   151.6
Points From 2-Pointers 35.1 43.2
Points From 3-Pointers 20.5 24.3
Points From Free Throws 14.3 14.2
Shooting GTWN SCAR
Field Goals Made 24.4 29.7
Field Goals Attempted 56.9 57.0
Field Goal % 42.9% 52.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 21.6
2 Pointers Attempted 37.2 34.3
2 Point Shooting % 47.2% 62.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 19.7 22.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 14.3 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.8 20.1
Free Throw % 72.0% 70.6%
Ball Control GTWN SCAR
Rebounds 31.1 34.8
Rebounds - Defensive 20.7 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 9.9
Turnovers 8.9 8.3
Blocked Shots 3.6 3.7
Steals 4.2 5.0
Fouls 14.8 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: S Carolina

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GTWN SCAR
Total Possessions 67.3
Effective Scoring Chances 68.8 68.9
% of Possessions with GTWN SCAR
2 Point Attempt 47.0% 43.7%
3 Point Attempt 24.9% 28.9%
Player Fouled 21.7% 22.0%
Turnover 13.3% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken GTWN SCAR
Shot Blocked 6.7% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 29.6% 32.3%