NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GTWN CONN
Points 59.7 90.2
Total Points   149.9
Points From 2-Pointers 26.5 48.2
Points From 3-Pointers 18.5 25.2
Points From Free Throws 14.7 16.7
Shooting GTWN CONN
Field Goals Made 19.4 32.5
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 56.2
Field Goal % 34.1% 57.9%
2 Pointers Made 13.3 24.1
2 Pointers Attempted 36.8 33.5
2 Point Shooting % 36.1% 71.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.2 22.6
3 Point Shooting % 30.5% 37.2%
Free Throws Made 14.7 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 22.3
Free Throw % 72.0% 75.1%
Ball Control GTWN CONN
Rebounds 27.2 39.6
Rebounds - Defensive 16.5 29.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 10.4
Turnovers 9.5 7.9
Blocked Shots 2.3 5.8
Steals 4.0 6.1
Fouls 15.5 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Georgetown

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GTWN CONN
Total Possessions 67.4
Effective Scoring Chances 68.6 69.8
% of Possessions with GTWN CONN
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 25.1% 28.7%
Player Fouled 21.9% 23.1%
Turnover 14.1% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken GTWN CONN
Shot Blocked 10.5% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 38.6%