NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GTWN SMU
Points 73.2 83.5
Total Points   156.7
Points From 2-Pointers 31.5 47.4
Points From 3-Pointers 25.7 21.4
Points From Free Throws 16.0 14.7
Shooting GTWN SMU
Field Goals Made 24.3 30.8
Field Goals Attempted 57.6 61.6
Field Goal % 42.2% 50.0%
2 Pointers Made 15.8 23.7
2 Pointers Attempted 33.9 41.0
2 Point Shooting % 46.5% 57.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 23.7 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 16.0 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 21.5
Free Throw % 72.0% 68.6%
Ball Control GTWN SMU
Rebounds 33.7 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 20.9 23.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.8 13.5
Turnovers 11.6 8.9
Blocked Shots 4.3 5.1
Steals 4.8 8.5
Fouls 13.7 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Georgetown

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GTWN SMU
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 71.2 74.6
% of Possessions with GTWN SMU
2 Point Attempt 39.9% 48.1%
3 Point Attempt 28.0% 24.2%
Player Fouled 22.2% 19.6%
Turnover 16.5% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 12.1% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken GTWN SMU
Shot Blocked 8.5% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 35.2% 39.2%