NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GTWN SYR
Points 74.4 84.8
Total Points   159.3
Points From 2-Pointers 33.8 47.7
Points From 3-Pointers 27.8 20.3
Points From Free Throws 12.8 16.8
Shooting GTWN SYR
Field Goals Made 26.2 30.6
Field Goals Attempted 59.5 55.5
Field Goal % 44.0% 55.2%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 23.9
2 Pointers Attempted 34.7 37.6
2 Point Shooting % 48.7% 63.5%
3 Pointers Made 9.3 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 24.8 17.9
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 37.9%
Free Throws Made 12.8 16.8
Free Throws Attempted 17.8 23.0
Free Throw % 72.0% 72.8%
Ball Control GTWN SYR
Rebounds 34.4 29.9
Rebounds - Defensive 21.4 22.9
Rebounds - Offensive 13.0 7.0
Turnovers 13.3 9.4
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.9
Steals 4.7 9.5
Fouls 15.7 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Georgetown

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GTWN SYR
Total Possessions 71.6
Effective Scoring Chances 71.3 69.2
% of Possessions with GTWN SYR
2 Point Attempt 40.3% 47.2%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 22.5%
Player Fouled 19.1% 21.9%
Turnover 18.6% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 13.2% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken GTWN SYR
Shot Blocked 7.2% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 36.2% 24.7%