NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GTWN TTU
Points 71.7 85.1
Total Points   156.8
Points From 2-Pointers 32.8 41.9
Points From 3-Pointers 25.5 26.3
Points From Free Throws 13.4 16.9
Shooting GTWN TTU
Field Goals Made 24.9 29.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 56.1
Field Goal % 42.7% 52.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.4 20.9
2 Pointers Attempted 33.4 33.1
2 Point Shooting % 49.1% 63.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 25.0 23.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 38.1%
Free Throws Made 13.4 16.9
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 21.6
Free Throw % 72.0% 78.5%
Ball Control GTWN TTU
Rebounds 31.8 33.5
Rebounds - Defensive 19.6 24.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 9.4
Turnovers 10.4 8.8
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.5
Steals 4.2 6.3
Fouls 15.6 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Georgetown

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GTWN TTU
Total Possessions 68.6
Effective Scoring Chances 70.4 69.2
% of Possessions with GTWN TTU
2 Point Attempt 40.8% 41.9%
3 Point Attempt 30.5% 29.0%
Player Fouled 20.0% 22.7%
Turnover 15.2% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken GTWN TTU
Shot Blocked 4.6% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 33.7% 32.5%