NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GTWN SJU
Points 69.7 88.3
Total Points   158.0
Points From 2-Pointers 29.3 51.2
Points From 3-Pointers 23.6 20.5
Points From Free Throws 16.9 16.6
Shooting GTWN SJU
Field Goals Made 22.5 32.4
Field Goals Attempted 57.4 60.0
Field Goal % 39.2% 54.1%
2 Pointers Made 14.6 25.6
2 Pointers Attempted 35.8 40.5
2 Point Shooting % 40.9% 63.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 21.6 19.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 16.9 16.6
Free Throws Attempted 23.4 22.3
Free Throw % 72.0% 74.2%
Ball Control GTWN SJU
Rebounds 30.4 38.4
Rebounds - Defensive 18.3 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 12.6
Turnovers 11.3 8.9
Blocked Shots 2.1 6.2
Steals 4.9 6.8
Fouls 15.0 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Georgetown

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GTWN SJU
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 71.2 74.1
% of Possessions with GTWN SJU
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 48.3%
3 Point Attempt 25.4% 23.2%
Player Fouled 23.3% 21.3%
Turnover 16.1% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken GTWN SJU
Shot Blocked 10.4% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 32.1% 40.8%