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Miami at Louisville
Sat Feb 8, 2025
2:00pm ET
Louisville, KY
Miami at Louisville: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Louisville by 17.5, Total Points: 153.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MIA | adv | LOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 11-20-0 | 20-15-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-13-0 | 15-8-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 6-11-0 | 8-9-0 | |
| Away | 5-9-0 | 12-6-0 |
Miami Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04 | Home | F Dickinson | -27.5 | W by 41 | +13.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Binghamton | -28.0 | W by 24 | -4.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Coppin St | -37.0 | W by 30 | -7.0 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Drake | -9.0 | L by 11 | -20.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Oklahoma St | -4.0 | L by 6 | -10.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | VCU | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 11/30 | Home | Charleston So | -24.5 | L by 4 | -28.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | Arkansas | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 12/07 | Home | Clemson | +4.5 | L by 10 | -5.5 |
| 12/10 | Neutral | Tennessee | +15.0 | L by 13 | +2.0 |
| 12/15 | Home | Presbyterian | -18.5 | W by 19 | +0.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Mt St Mary's | -16.5 | L by 4 | -20.5 |
| 01/01 | Away | Boston College | -2.0 | L by 10 | -12.0 |
| 01/04 | Away | Virginia Tech | -1.5 | L by 1 | -2.5 |
| 01/08 | Home | Florida St | -2.5 | L by 15 | -17.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | Wake Forest | +3.5 | L by 10 | -6.5 |
| 01/14 | Away | Duke | +23.5 | L by 35 | -11.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | SMU | +6.5 | L by 43 | -36.5 |
| 01/22 | Away | Stanford | +10.5 | L by 37 | -26.5 |
| 01/25 | Away | California | +9.0 | L by 4 | +5.0 |
| 01/29 | Home | Virginia | -2.0 | L by 11 | -13.0 |
| 02/01 | Home | Notre Dame | +7.5 | W by 6 | +13.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | Louisville | +17.5 | L by 10 | +7.5 |
| 02/11 | Home | Syracuse | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Pittsburgh | +11.5 | L by 9 | +2.5 |
| 02/19 | Away | Florida St | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Virginia Tech | -2.0 | L by 13 | -15.0 |
| 02/25 | Home | Duke | +24.5 | L by 37 | -12.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | North Carolina | +17.5 | L by 19 | -1.5 |
| 03/04 | Away | Georgia Tech | +10.0 | L by 15 | -5.0 |
| 03/08 | Home | NC State | +2.0 | W by 2 | +4.0 |
Louisville Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04 | Home | Morehead St | -22.0 | W by 48 | +26.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | Tennessee | -2.5 | L by 22 | -24.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | Bellarmine | -30.0 | W by 32 | +2.0 |
| 11/22 | Home | Winthrop | -21.0 | W by 15 | -6.0 |
| 11/27 | Neutral | Indiana | +4.5 | W by 28 | +32.5 |
| 11/28 | Neutral | West Virginia | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 11/29 | Neutral | Oklahoma | -2.5 | L by 5 | -7.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | Mississippi | -3.5 | L by 23 | -26.5 |
| 12/08 | Home | Duke | +8.0 | L by 11 | -3.0 |
| 12/11 | Home | UTEP | -14.5 | W by 3 | -11.5 |
| 12/14 | Away | Kentucky | +10.0 | L by 8 | +2.0 |
| 12/21 | Away | Florida St | +1.0 | W by 14 | +15.0 |
| 12/28 | Home | E Kentucky | -21.5 | W by 2 | -19.5 |
| 01/01 | Home | North Carolina | -1.5 | W by 13 | +11.5 |
| 01/04 | Away | Virginia | -5.5 | W by 20 | +14.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | Clemson | -3.5 | W by 10 | +6.5 |
| 01/11 | Away | Pittsburgh | +3.5 | W by 4 | +7.5 |
| 01/14 | Away | Syracuse | -8.5 | W by 24 | +15.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Virginia | -15.0 | W by 14 | -1.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | SMU | +2.0 | W by 25 | +27.0 |
| 01/28 | Home | Wake Forest | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 02/01 | Away | Georgia Tech | -9.5 | L by 7 | -16.5 |
| 02/05 | Away | Boston College | -13.5 | W by 26 | +12.5 |
| 02/08 | Home | Miami | -17.5 | W by 10 | -7.5 |
| 02/12 | Away | NC State | -8.5 | W by 25 | +16.5 |
| 02/16 | Away | Notre Dame | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Florida St | -13.5 | W by 8 | -5.5 |
| 02/25 | Away | Virginia Tech | -10.0 | W by 5 | -5.0 |
| 03/01 | Home | Pittsburgh | -10.5 | W by 11 | +0.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | California | -14.5 | W by 17 | +2.5 |
| 03/08 | Home | Stanford | -10.5 | W by 20 | +9.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Stanford | -10.5 | W by 2 | -8.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Clemson | +2.0 | W by 3 | +5.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Duke | +6.5 | L by 11 | -4.5 |
| 03/20 | Neutral | Creighton | -3.5 | L by 14 | -17.5 |
| LOU -17.5 | Open | -18.5 | High | -18.5 |
| Last | -18.5 | Low | -17.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 882 games where the closing line favored the home team by 16.5 to 18.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Louisville won the game 834 times (94.6%).
- The team like Miami won the game 48 times (5.4%).
- The team like Miami did better against the spread, going 451-418-13 (51.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2021-2022 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3638 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Louisville did better against the spread, going 1791-1778-69 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| Open | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| History | |||
| 02/08 01:35 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 01:17 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 12:26 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 11:08 AM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 10:36 AM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 08:47 AM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 08:25 AM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 07:16 AM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
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