ATS Situational Trends

Record MIA adv UVA
Season 14-16-2 17-16-1
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 7-12-2 11-10-1
Streak L3 L2
Last 5 1-4-0 2-3-0
Last 10 2-8-0 3-7-0
Home 8-8-1 10-6-1
Away 6-8-1 7-10-0

Miami Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/06 Home NJIT -24.5 W by 41 +16.5
11/10 Home UCF -9.5 W by 16 +6.5
11/13 Home Florida Intl -23.0 W by 6 -17.0
11/17 Neutral Georgia -7.5 W by 11 +3.5
11/19 Neutral Kansas St -3.0 W by 8 +5.0
11/28 Away Kentucky +6.0 L by 22 -16.0
12/02 Home Notre Dame -14.5 W by 13 -1.5
12/06 Home LIU -30.0 W by 48 +18.0
12/10 Neutral Colorado -1.5 L by 27 -28.5
12/16 Home La Salle -15.5 W by 7 -8.5
12/21 Home Stonehill -29.5 W by 38 +8.5
12/29 Home N Florida -19.5 W by 40 +20.5
01/03 Home Clemson +1.5 W by 13 +14.5
01/06 Away Wake Forest +4.0 L by 4 0.0
01/10 Home Louisville -16.5 L by 9 -25.5
01/13 Away VA Tech +2.0 W by 4 +6.0
01/17 Home Florida St -5.5 L by 9 -14.5
01/20 Away Syracuse +4.0 L by 3 +1.0
01/24 Away Notre Dame -4.5 W by 12 +7.5
01/27 Home Pittsburgh -4.0 W by 4 0.0
01/30 Away NC State +4.5 L by 6 -1.5
02/03 Home VA Tech -4.0 W by 8 +4.0
02/05 Away Virginia +5.5 L by 22 -16.5
02/10 Home N Carolina +4.0 L by 3 +1.0
02/14 Away Clemson +7.0 L by 17 -10.0
02/17 Away Boston Col +1.0 L by 8 -7.0
02/21 Home Duke +7.0 L by 29 -22.0
02/24 Home GA Tech -9.0 L by 4 -13.0
02/26 Away N Carolina +14.0 L by 4 +10.0
03/06 Home Boston Col -5.5 L by 10 -15.5
03/09 Away Florida St +4.5 L by 8 -3.5
03/12 Neutral Boston Col -3.0 L by 16 -19.0

Virginia Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/06 Home Tarleton St -17.0 W by 30 +13.0
11/10 Neutral Florida +1.0 W by 3 +4.0
11/14 Home NC A&T -30.5 W by 29 -1.5
11/16 Home TX Southern -22.5 W by 29 +6.5
11/20 Neutral Wisconsin -3.5 L by 24 -27.5
11/22 Neutral W Virginia -9.5 W by 2 -7.5
11/29 Home Texas A&M -3.0 W by 12 +9.0
12/02 Home Syracuse -10.5 W by 22 +11.5
12/05 Home NC Central -24.5 W by 30 +5.5
12/16 Home Northeastrn -16.0 W by 2 -14.0
12/19 Away Memphis +3.5 L by 23 -19.5
12/27 Home Morgan St -26.5 W by 35 +8.5
12/30 Away Notre Dame -9.5 L by 22 -31.5
01/03 Home Louisville -15.5 W by 24 +8.5
01/06 Away NC State +1.0 L by 16 -15.0
01/13 Away Wake Forest +6.0 L by 19 -13.0
01/17 Home VA Tech -4.5 W by 8 +3.5
01/20 Away GA Tech -2.5 W by 9 +6.5
01/24 Home NC State -6.0 W by 6 0.0
01/27 Away Louisville -9.0 W by 17 +8.0
01/31 Home Notre Dame -13.5 W by 12 -1.5
02/03 Away Clemson +4.5 W by 1 +5.5
02/05 Home Miami -5.5 W by 22 +16.5
02/10 Away Florida St -1.5 W by 4 +2.5
02/13 Home Pittsburgh -6.5 L by 11 -17.5
02/17 Home Wake Forest -2.5 W by 2 -0.5
02/19 Away VA Tech +3.5 L by 34 -30.5
02/24 Home N Carolina +2.5 L by 10 -7.5
02/28 Away Boston Col -1.5 W by 4 +2.5
03/02 Away Duke +10.0 L by 25 -15.0
03/09 Home GA Tech -9.5 W by 15 +5.5
03/14 Neutral Boston Col -5.5 W by 6 +0.5
03/15 Neutral NC State -2.5 L by 8 -10.5
03/19 Neutral Colorado St +2.5 L by 25 -22.5
UVA -15.0 Open -15.0 High -15.5
Last -14.5 Low -14.5

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1075 games where the closing line favored the home team by 14 to 16 points. In these games:

  • The team like Virginia won the game 1006 times (93.6%).
  • The team like Miami won the game 69 times (6.4%).
  • The team like Virginia did better against the spread, going 526-523-26 (50.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 467 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.

In these games, the team like Virginia did better against the spread, going 243-221-3 (52.4% ATS).

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -15.0 -15.0 -15.0
Open -15.5 -15.0 -14.5
History
03/01 05:53 PM -15.0 -- --
03/01 04:56 PM -15.0 -- --
03/01 04:38 PM -14.5 -- --
03/01 04:02 PM -14.5 -- --
03/01 03:32 PM -14.5 -- --
03/01 02:54 PM -- -15.0 --
03/01 02:25 PM -- -- -15.0
03/01 02:11 PM -14.5 -- --
03/01 01:44 PM -14.5 -- --
03/01 12:35 PM -14.5 -- --
03/01 12:11 PM -14.5 -- --
03/01 11:50 AM -14.5 -- --
03/01 10:55 AM -- -- -14.5
03/01 10:35 AM -14.5 -- --
03/01 10:20 AM -14.5 -- --
03/01 09:23 AM -15.0 -- --
03/01 05:17 AM -15.0 -- --
03/01 03:56 AM -15.0 -- --
03/01 01:10 AM -15.0 -- --
02/28 09:54 PM -- -14.5 --
02/28 09:45 PM -- -- -14.5
02/28 09:41 PM -15.0 -- --
02/28 06:44 PM -15.5 -- --
02/28 06:34 PM -- -15.5 --
02/28 06:24 PM -- -15.0 --
02/28 06:23 PM -15.5 -- --