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Miami vs. Alabama
Sun Nov 28, 2021
6:30pm ET
Kissimmee, FL
(Neutral Site)
Miami vs. Alabama: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Alabama by 9, Total Points: 151.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MIA | adv | ALA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 14-16-2 | 21-16-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-12-2 | 10-9-0 | |
| Streak | L3 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 8-8-1 | 11-5-0 | |
| Away | 6-8-1 | 10-11-0 |
Miami Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | NJIT | -24.5 | W by 41 | +16.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | UCF | -9.5 | W by 16 | +6.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Florida Intl | -23.0 | W by 6 | -17.0 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Georgia | -7.5 | W by 11 | +3.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Kansas St | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Kentucky | +6.0 | L by 22 | -16.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Notre Dame | -14.5 | W by 13 | -1.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | LIU | -30.0 | W by 48 | +18.0 |
| 12/10 | Neutral | Colorado | -1.5 | L by 27 | -28.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | La Salle | -15.5 | W by 7 | -8.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Stonehill | -29.5 | W by 38 | +8.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | N Florida | -19.5 | W by 40 | +20.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Clemson | +1.5 | W by 13 | +14.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Wake Forest | +4.0 | L by 4 | 0.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Louisville | -16.5 | L by 9 | -25.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | VA Tech | +2.0 | W by 4 | +6.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Florida St | -5.5 | L by 9 | -14.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Syracuse | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Notre Dame | -4.5 | W by 12 | +7.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Pittsburgh | -4.0 | W by 4 | 0.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | NC State | +4.5 | L by 6 | -1.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | VA Tech | -4.0 | W by 8 | +4.0 |
| 02/05 | Away | Virginia | +5.5 | L by 22 | -16.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | N Carolina | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Clemson | +7.0 | L by 17 | -10.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Boston Col | +1.0 | L by 8 | -7.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Duke | +7.0 | L by 29 | -22.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | GA Tech | -9.0 | L by 4 | -13.0 |
| 02/26 | Away | N Carolina | +14.0 | L by 4 | +10.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Boston Col | -5.5 | L by 10 | -15.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Florida St | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | Boston Col | -3.0 | L by 16 | -19.0 |
Alabama Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Morehead St | -22.0 | W by 32 | +10.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Indiana St | -17.0 | W by 22 | +5.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | S Alabama | -20.5 | W by 56 | +35.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Mercer | -30.5 | W by 31 | +0.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Ohio St | -6.5 | L by 11 | -17.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Oregon | -8.5 | W by 8 | -0.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Clemson | -8.0 | L by 8 | -16.0 |
| 12/04 | Home | Arkansas St | -25.5 | W by 24 | -1.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Purdue | +5.5 | L by 6 | -0.5 |
| 12/16 | Away | Creighton | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Arizona | +7.0 | L by 13 | -6.0 |
| 12/23 | Home | E Kentucky | -23.5 | W by 44 | +20.5 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Liberty | -9.5 | W by 45 | +35.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Vanderbilt | -13.0 | W by 3 | -10.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | S Carolina | -12.0 | W by 27 | +15.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Miss State | +1.0 | W by 8 | +9.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Missouri | -14.5 | W by 18 | +3.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Tennessee | +5.5 | L by 20 | -14.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Auburn | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | LSU | -12.5 | W by 21 | +8.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Georgia | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Miss State | -8.5 | W by 32 | +23.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Auburn | +5.5 | L by 18 | -12.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | LSU | -8.5 | W by 17 | +8.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Texas A&M | -8.0 | W by 25 | +17.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Florida | -10.0 | W by 5 | -5.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Kentucky | +2.5 | L by 22 | -19.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Mississippi | -5.5 | W by 15 | +9.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Tennessee | -4.5 | L by 7 | -11.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Florida | +2.5 | L by 18 | -15.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Arkansas | -15.5 | W by 4 | -11.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Florida | -4.5 | L by 14 | -18.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Col Charlestn | -8.0 | W by 13 | +5.0 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Grd Canyon | -5.5 | W by 11 | +5.5 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | N Carolina | +4.5 | W by 2 | +6.5 |
| 03/30 | Neutral | Clemson | -3.0 | W by 7 | +4.0 |
| 04/06 | Neutral | Connecticut | +10.0 | L by 14 | -4.0 |
| ALA -9.0 | Open | -10.5 | High | -10.5 |
| Last | -9.5 | Low | -9.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2151 games where the closing line favored the home team by 8 to 10 points. In these games:
- The team like Alabama won the game 1740 times (80.9%).
- The team like Miami won the game 411 times (19.1%).
- The team like Miami did better against the spread, going 1053-1048-50 (50.1% ATS).
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1577 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Miami did better against the spread, going 825-728-24 (53.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -9.5 | -9.0 | -9.0 |
| Open | -10.5 | -10.0 | -10.5 |
| History | |||
| 11/28 06:19 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 05:22 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 05:16 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 04:55 PM | -- | -- | -9.0 |
| 11/28 04:49 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 01:41 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 01:38 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 12:14 PM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 11/28 11:55 AM | -- | -- | -9.5 |
| 11/28 11:05 AM | -- | -- | -9.0 |
| 11/28 10:14 AM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 11/28 10:04 AM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 11/28 09:55 AM | -- | -- | -9.0 |
| 11/28 09:52 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 09:49 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 09:45 AM | -- | -- | -9.5 |
| 11/28 08:25 AM | -- | -- | -10.5 |
| 11/28 07:45 AM | -- | -- | -10.0 |
| 11/28 07:05 AM | -- | -- | -9.5 |
| 11/28 06:52 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 12:04 AM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 11/27 10:05 PM | -- | -- | -10.5 |
| 11/27 05:44 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 11/27 04:07 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
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