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Miami at Florida St
Wed Jan 27, 2021
6:00pm ET
Tallahassee, FL
Miami at Florida St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Florida State by 11, Total Points: 141.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MIA | adv | FSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 14-16-2 | 16-16-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-12-2 | 12-10-0 | |
| Streak | L3 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 8-8-1 | 8-8-1 | |
| Away | 6-8-1 | 8-8-0 |
Miami Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | NJIT | -24.5 | W by 41 | +16.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | UCF | -9.5 | W by 16 | +6.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Florida Intl | -23.0 | W by 6 | -17.0 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Georgia | -7.5 | W by 11 | +3.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Kansas St | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Kentucky | +6.0 | L by 22 | -16.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Notre Dame | -14.5 | W by 13 | -1.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | LIU | -30.0 | W by 48 | +18.0 |
| 12/10 | Neutral | Colorado | -1.5 | L by 27 | -28.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | La Salle | -15.5 | W by 7 | -8.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Stonehill | -29.5 | W by 38 | +8.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | N Florida | -19.5 | W by 40 | +20.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Clemson | +1.5 | W by 13 | +14.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Wake Forest | +4.0 | L by 4 | 0.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Louisville | -16.5 | L by 9 | -25.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | VA Tech | +2.0 | W by 4 | +6.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Florida St | -5.5 | L by 9 | -14.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Syracuse | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Notre Dame | -4.5 | W by 12 | +7.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Pittsburgh | -4.0 | W by 4 | 0.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | NC State | +4.5 | L by 6 | -1.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | VA Tech | -4.0 | W by 8 | +4.0 |
| 02/05 | Away | Virginia | +5.5 | L by 22 | -16.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | N Carolina | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Clemson | +7.0 | L by 17 | -10.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Boston Col | +1.0 | L by 8 | -7.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Duke | +7.0 | L by 29 | -22.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | GA Tech | -9.0 | L by 4 | -13.0 |
| 02/26 | Away | N Carolina | +14.0 | L by 4 | +10.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Boston Col | -5.5 | L by 10 | -15.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Florida St | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | Boston Col | -3.0 | L by 16 | -19.0 |
Florida St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Home | Kennesaw St | -10.5 | W by 27 | +16.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Central Mich | -20.5 | W by 27 | +6.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Florida | +8.5 | L by 21 | -12.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | UNLV | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Colorado | +5.5 | W by 6 | +11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Georgia | -9.0 | L by 2 | -11.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | N Carolina | +12.0 | L by 8 | +4.0 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | S Florida | -7.5 | L by 16 | -23.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | S Methodist | -4.5 | L by 11 | -15.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | N Florida | -16.0 | W by 16 | 0.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Winthrop | -9.0 | W by 6 | -3.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Lipscomb | -9.0 | L by 3 | -12.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | GA Tech | -4.0 | W by 11 | +7.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | VA Tech | +1.0 | W by 3 | +4.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | Wake Forest | +3.0 | W by 5 | +8.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Notre Dame | -1.5 | W by 9 | +7.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Miami | +5.5 | W by 9 | +14.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Clemson | +2.0 | L by 11 | -9.0 |
| 01/23 | Away | Syracuse | +3.5 | W by 16 | +19.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | N Carolina | +6.5 | L by 7 | -0.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Louisville | -5.5 | L by 9 | -14.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Boston Col | +4.0 | W by 1 | +5.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Virginia | +1.5 | L by 4 | -2.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | VA Tech | +5.5 | L by 8 | -2.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Duke | +6.0 | L by 9 | -3.0 |
| 02/20 | Home | Boston Col | -4.0 | W by 8 | +4.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Clemson | +10.0 | L by 11 | -1.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | NC State | -3.0 | W by 7 | +4.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | GA Tech | -3.5 | L by 9 | -12.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Pittsburgh | +7.5 | L by 15 | -7.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Miami | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | VA Tech | +4.5 | W by 10 | +14.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | N Carolina | +11.0 | L by 25 | -14.0 |
| FSU -11.0 | Open | -11.5 | High | -12.0 |
| Last | -12.0 | Low | -11.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1862 games where the closing line favored the home team by 9.5 to 11.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Florida State won the game 1598 times (85.8%).
- The team like Miami won the game 264 times (14.2%).
- The team like Miami did better against the spread, going 933-904-25 (50.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 123 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Florida State did better against the spread, going 73-47-3 (60.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 3.7 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -11.5 | -12.0 | -11.0 |
| Open | -12.0 | -12.0 | -11.5 |
| History | |||
| 01/27 05:59 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 05:17 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 04:44 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 03:32 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 03:14 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 01:50 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 01:02 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 12:26 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 12:02 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 11:23 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 11:20 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 10:02 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 09:32 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 09:25 AM | -- | -- | -11.0 |
| 01/27 09:15 AM | -- | -- | -10.5 |
| 01/27 09:02 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 12:38 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/26 11:44 PM | -- | -- | -11.5 |
| 01/26 10:07 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/26 07:29 PM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 01/26 05:23 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
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