NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIA CLEM
Points 68.6 78.8
Total Points   147.3
Points From 2-Pointers 29.9 35.2
Points From 3-Pointers 27.9 32.1
Points From Free Throws 10.7 11.5
Shooting MIA CLEM
Field Goals Made 24.3 28.3
Field Goals Attempted 61.2 61.7
Field Goal % 39.7% 45.9%
2 Pointers Made 15.0 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 33.2 31.5
2 Point Shooting % 45.1% 55.8%
3 Pointers Made 9.3 10.7
3 Pointers Attempted 28.0 30.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.3% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 10.7 11.5
Free Throws Attempted 14.9 14.7
Free Throw % 71.6% 77.8%
Ball Control MIA CLEM
Rebounds 34.6 39.5
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 30.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 9.2
Turnovers 9.2 8.9
Blocked Shots 2.0 3.4
Steals 5.7 5.0
Fouls 11.5 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: Clemson

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIA CLEM
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 70.9
% of Possessions with MIA CLEM
2 Point Attempt 41.2% 39.1%
3 Point Attempt 34.7% 37.5%
Player Fouled 18.1% 16.3%
Turnover 13.1% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIA CLEM
Shot Blocked 5.6% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 22.2% 26.2%