NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIA GT
Points 74.7 75.4
Total Points   150.0
Points From 2-Pointers 35.0 32.1
Points From 3-Pointers 28.9 33.4
Points From Free Throws 10.7 9.9
Shooting MIA GT
Field Goals Made 27.1 27.2
Field Goals Attempted 64.4 63.9
Field Goal % 42.2% 42.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 16.0
2 Pointers Attempted 36.0 31.3
2 Point Shooting % 48.6% 51.3%
3 Pointers Made 9.6 11.1
3 Pointers Attempted 28.4 32.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 10.7 9.9
Free Throws Attempted 15.0 13.4
Free Throw % 71.6% 73.6%
Ball Control MIA GT
Rebounds 36.5 41.2
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 29.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 11.8
Turnovers 8.1 10.6
Blocked Shots 2.7 3.7
Steals 6.6 4.5
Fouls 11.0 12.6

Playing Style Advantage: GA Tech

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIA GT
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 73.1 72.7
% of Possessions with MIA GT
2 Point Attempt 43.5% 37.1%
3 Point Attempt 34.3% 38.7%
Player Fouled 17.6% 15.4%
Turnover 11.4% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIA GT
Shot Blocked 5.9% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 25.2% 30.8%