NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WASH ORST
Points 78.9 73.2
Total Points   152.1
Points From 2-Pointers 39.8 39.5
Points From 3-Pointers 23.3 18.3
Points From Free Throws 15.8 15.4
Shooting WASH ORST
Field Goals Made 27.7 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 58.0
Field Goal % 47.5% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 19.9 19.7
2 Pointers Attempted 36.4 39.5
2 Point Shooting % 54.6% 50.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 21.9 18.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 32.9%
Free Throws Made 15.8 15.4
Free Throws Attempted 22.1 21.0
Free Throw % 71.5% 73.5%
Ball Control WASH ORST
Rebounds 35.2 34.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 25.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 8.7
Turnovers 10.2 10.8
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.7
Steals 5.3 5.4
Fouls 17.3 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: Oregon St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WASH ORST
Total Possessions 72.9
Effective Scoring Chances 71.4 70.8
% of Possessions with WASH ORST
2 Point Attempt 43.8% 47.7%
3 Point Attempt 26.3% 22.3%
Player Fouled 24.5% 23.7%
Turnover 14.0% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken WASH ORST
Shot Blocked 6.5% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 25.7% 24.8%