NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CONN DEP
Points 90.6 54.4
Total Points   145.0
Points From 2-Pointers 45.7 27.0
Points From 3-Pointers 31.2 14.0
Points From Free Throws 13.7 13.4
Shooting CONN DEP
Field Goals Made 33.2 18.2
Field Goals Attempted 60.1 53.0
Field Goal % 55.3% 34.3%
2 Pointers Made 22.8 13.5
2 Pointers Attempted 33.6 37.0
2 Point Shooting % 68.0% 36.5%
3 Pointers Made 10.4 4.7
3 Pointers Attempted 26.5 16.0
3 Point Shooting % 39.3% 29.2%
Free Throws Made 13.7 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 18.2
Free Throw % 75.1% 73.8%
Ball Control CONN DEP
Rebounds 41.4 24.6
Rebounds - Defensive 30.2 18.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 6.4
Turnovers 7.4 11.2
Blocked Shots 6.3 2.1
Steals 6.6 4.0
Fouls 15.3 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: DePaul

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CONN DEP
Total Possessions 67.6
Effective Scoring Chances 71.4 62.8
% of Possessions with CONN DEP
2 Point Attempt 42.2% 48.3%
3 Point Attempt 33.2% 20.9%
Player Fouled 19.4% 22.6%
Turnover 10.9% 16.6%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken CONN DEP
Shot Blocked 4.1% 10.5%
Offensive Rebound 38.1% 17.5%