NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CONN CREI
Points 76.3 67.6
Total Points   143.9
Points From 2-Pointers 47.7 32.3
Points From 3-Pointers 20.1 22.9
Points From Free Throws 8.5 12.3
Shooting CONN CREI
Field Goals Made 30.6 23.8
Field Goals Attempted 67.4 58.4
Field Goal % 45.3% 40.7%
2 Pointers Made 23.9 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 47.9 34.7
2 Point Shooting % 49.8% 46.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 19.6 23.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 32.2%
Free Throws Made 8.5 12.3
Free Throws Attempted 11.3 15.2
Free Throw % 75.1% 80.8%
Ball Control CONN CREI
Rebounds 39.5 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 28.5 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 7.2
Turnovers 5.6 8.9
Blocked Shots 4.4 2.9
Steals 5.1 2.8
Fouls 13.5 10.3

Playing Style Advantage: Creighton

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CONN CREI
Total Possessions 68.6
Effective Scoring Chances 74.0 66.9
% of Possessions with CONN CREI
2 Point Attempt 59.3% 44.7%
3 Point Attempt 24.2% 30.6%
Player Fouled 15.0% 19.8%
Turnover 8.2% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 4.1% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CONN CREI
Shot Blocked 5.1% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 28.9% 20.2%