NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WASH UCLA
Points 72.7 70.3
Total Points   142.9
Points From 2-Pointers 33.3 37.0
Points From 3-Pointers 24.3 16.8
Points From Free Throws 15.0 16.4
Shooting WASH UCLA
Field Goals Made 24.8 24.1
Field Goals Attempted 55.4 58.2
Field Goal % 44.7% 41.4%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 32.6 41.3
2 Point Shooting % 51.1% 44.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 22.8 16.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 33.1%
Free Throws Made 15.0 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 22.1
Free Throw % 71.5% 74.3%
Ball Control WASH UCLA
Rebounds 34.8 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 10.7
Turnovers 10.7 9.2
Blocked Shots 2.3 3.4
Steals 4.3 5.3
Fouls 17.1 18.5

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WASH UCLA
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 68.0 72.0
% of Possessions with WASH UCLA
2 Point Attempt 40.8% 50.3%
3 Point Attempt 28.4% 20.6%
Player Fouled 26.2% 24.2%
Turnover 15.2% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken WASH UCLA
Shot Blocked 5.9% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 24.2% 28.8%